Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.372007 0.432920 0.500293 0.580287 0.672632 0.775849 0.899933
2025-03-16 0.258848 0.336787 0.432552 0.558650 0.720113 0.919729 1.185089
2025-03-23 0.219327 0.308924 0.427525 0.595510 0.826817 1.133602 1.570906
2025-03-30 0.176553 0.265590 0.390940 0.579490 0.855067 1.242178 1.826268
2025-04-06 0.144653 0.230493 0.358016 0.560137 0.871220 1.330430 2.058090
2025-04-13 0.120702 0.202578 0.330242 0.542319 0.884180 1.411661 2.284744
2025-04-20 0.106562 0.187469 0.319267 0.547699 0.931580 1.547905 2.608670
2025-04-27 0.099272 0.182319 0.323114 0.576739 1.019374 1.756053 3.069496
2025-05-04 0.091052 0.174170 0.320503 0.593875 1.088240 1.939259 3.507562
2025-05-11 0.082367 0.163804 0.312428 0.599867 1.137521 2.093137 3.910146
2025-05-18 0.073732 0.152211 0.300461 0.596842 1.169386 2.218511 4.273567
2025-05-25 0.065698 0.140597 0.286860 0.588735 1.190203 2.324949 4.611838
2025-06-01 0.059227 0.131417 0.277163 0.587722 1.225913 2.465485 5.035398
2025-06-08 0.051527 0.118580 0.258569 0.566584 1.219471 2.525071 5.309614
2025-06-15 0.050120 0.119168 0.267700 0.603991 1.336749 2.840469 6.129119
2025-06-22 0.044338 0.109067 0.252713 0.587752 1.338965 2.922406 6.476515
2025-06-29 0.039046 0.099300 0.237150 0.568131 1.331218 2.982137 6.782351
2025-07-06 0.034530 0.090710 0.223104 0.550066 1.324536 3.042861 7.095861
2025-07-13 0.032042 0.086768 0.219355 0.555520 1.372088 3.226806 7.701740
2025-07-20 0.031190 0.086878 0.225311 0.584963 1.479185 3.554806 8.668590
2025-07-27 0.029693 0.085077 0.226330 0.602336 1.559163 3.828470 9.536761
2025-08-03 0.027737 0.081741 0.223046 0.608411 1.611942 4.043498 10.287237
2025-08-10 0.025533 0.077387 0.216560 0.605343 1.641196 4.204786 10.923020